An Ovum report jointly commissioned by nbn and BT has predicted that new ultra-fast copper technology G.fast will be serving nearly 30 million subscriber homes and businesses around the world by 2021. This is just four years after the first commercial G.fast services are due to launch in 2017.
“In 2021, Ovum expects G.fast to be supporting nearly 29 million subscribers, representing 3 per cent of the global fixed broadband market,” the Gigabit Networks report says.
“As an emerging technology, the growth in new G.fast subscribers is expected to accelerate in each year, rising from 330,000 in 2017 to nearly 11.5 million in 2021.”
nbn held its first G.fast trial in October 2015 and has been conducting additional lab trials of XG.FAST in recent weeks.
nbn recently announced its intention to deploy Fibre-to-the-Curb (FTTC) technology to approximately 700,000 premises – giving an ideal platform for potentially deploying both future G.fast and XG.FAST services.
Ovum is forecasting particularly strong take-up of G.fast in Europe, with operators including BT, Swisscom, Deutsche Telekom, Telekom Austria and Proximus (Belgium) all planning to deploy G.fast technology to deliver affordable ultrafast connectivity quickly and cost-effectively.
“About 11 per cent of broadband services in Western Europe may be delivered via G.fast within five years, with a number of major markets already including the technology in their upgrade plans,” the Gigabit Networks report says.
Openreach, BT’s local network division, is expected to be one of the first operators in the world to launch commercial G.fast services with a launch expected during 2017.
It is aiming to make ultrafast speeds available to 12 million premises in the UK by the end of 2020 – using a mix of G.fast and Fibre to the Premises (FTTP) technologies.
Openreach is already working to conduct the largest G.fast field trials in the world, delivering speeds of up to 330Mbps. The company recently announced an extension to its pilot which will see around 140,000 homes and businesses across the country given access to G.fast by March 2017.