Advanced Television

Forecast: Netflix to remain SVoD leader in LatAm

February 16, 2022

In 2021, the dynamics of the SVoD OTT market in Latin America were altered by the entrance of some of the world’s largest content producers, namely Disney (with Disney+) and Warner Media (with HBO Max), notes Dataxis.

As a result of this increased competition, the subscription growth reached an all-time record, with a 47.2 per cent increase over the previous year, for a total of 83 million paid accounts at the end of 2021. On the downside however, there was a decline in monthly ARPU (-7.4 per cent to $5.90), partly due to discounts offered by platforms to capture additional market share. Additionally, it is to be noted that despite the slow growth shown by Netflix, the service remains the market leader in this segment.

Dataxis believes that there will be nearly 128 million SVoD OTT accounts in Latin America by 2026. It is estimated that a structure with four strong competitors will likely be maintained with Netflix, Disney, WarnerMedia and Prime Video. By 2026, these 4 platforms will hold approximately 83 per cent of total accounts.

In 2021, pay-TV operators have become major players in the expansion of OTTs. Distribution agreements proliferated as pay-TV companies stepped up their transition to a multi-aggregation strategy. Their objective is to become a distinguishable gateway in a world of heavily fragmented content offerings. So far, the coexistence of direct pay TV and OTT services has been based on the provision of distinct services. This apparent harmony was disrupted by the arrival of Star+, which broke the boundaries prevailing between on- demand and linear content. The platform was indeed launched with a catalogue containing both premium programming and content from Disney’s linear signals.

In terms of affordability, the competition launched a war of promotional offers and bonuses. Although Netflix’s ARPU (average revenue per user) is currently the highest among OTT services in Latin America, it still remains below the platform’s global levels. Moreover, the market leader’s low pricing is hampering the rest of its competitors. In 2021, SVoD OTT ‘s business revenue was nearly $5 billion, and is projected to reach around $9 billion by 2026, with a stable ARPU at around $6 in the period.

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