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Forecast: Digital transformation to drive South Africa GDP

November 13, 2024

Digital transformation is expected to play a pivotal role in South Africa’s future, with projections indicating it could contribute nearly 20 per cent to national GDP by 2028, create 300,000 jobs, and expand access to essential services for millions. The latest GSMA South Africa Digital Economy report reveals how mobile and digital services are accelerating economic growth and advancing social progress, fostering opportunity, and promoting inclusivity across the country.

Alongside this report, the GSMA has launched the Rural Renewal: Telcos and Sustainable Energy in Africa report, which advocates for renewable energy solutions to expand connectivity in rural Africa. Together, these reports offer a strategic roadmap for inclusive digital progress, underscoring mobile technology’s critical role in advancing South Africa’s socio-economic landscape.

Pathway to Prosperity through Digital for All 

The South Africa Digital Economy report illustrates how integrating digital technologies can empower underserved communities and populations by improving access to essential services, enhancing education and employment prospects, and fostering entrepreneurship. With a supportive policy framework, the digital economy could contribute up to 20 per cent of South Africa’s GDP by 2028, benefiting sectors such as education and healthcare while creating pathways to sustainable employment.

Angela Wamola, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa at GSMA, noted: “Digital transformation in South Africa holds tremendous potential to enrich lives, enhance economic resilience, and foster greater inclusion. By harnessing the power of mobile and digital services, we can open up meaningful opportunities, particularly for rural communities, empowering them to participate fully in the nation’s digital future”.
  
Addressing Rural Connectivity with Sustainable Solutions 

The Rural Renewal report focuses on the significant energy challenges limiting digital connectivity in rural Africa, where grid access is sparse and operational costs are high. With off-grid sites often relying on costly and polluting diesel generators, mobile operators urgently need to transition to renewable energy sources. By deploying sustainable solutions like solar-powered mini-grids and exploring innovative models such as Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS), operators can reduce costs, lower carbon emissions, and extend digital access to underserved communities.
The report features case studies from Ethiopia, Nigeria, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, showcasing how renewable energy initiatives can drive connectivity and support broader socio-economic development. Key recommendations include adopting government policies that incentivise renewable infrastructure, reducing import taxes on green technology, and fostering partnerships between telecom operators, tower companies, and energy providers to create sustainable, integrated energy systems.

Key Findings and Economic Impact 

These two reports highlight several transformative insights and projections:
  • Digital Economy Growth: South Africa’s digital economy is projected to reach nearly 20 per cent of GDP by 2028, with advancements in digital services like fintech, e-health, and digital education transforming access to essential services and economic resilience.
  • Youth Employment and Digital Skills: As digital adoption accelerates, the demand for digital skills will increase significantly. Youth employment opportunities in tech-driven sectors are expected to rise, emphasising the need for comprehensive digital skills programmes to bridge workforce gaps.
  • Fintech Leadership and Financial Inclusion: South Africa’s fintech sector, a regional powerhouse, is forecasted to generate annual revenue of approximately ZAR 8.2 billion by 2024. With innovations in digital payments and financial tools, fintech enhances financial inclusion, particularly for micro and small enterprises.
  • Impact on Traditional Sectors: Adopting digital tools, especially IoT and cloud services, transforms traditional sectors. For instance, smart farming solutions and Industry 4.0 technologies are boosting productivity in agriculture and manufacturing, positioning these industries to become more competitive globally.
  • Sustainable Energy for Rural Connectivity: The Rural Renewal report’s findings show that renewable energy deployment can mitigate energy challenges in rural regions, support mobile network expansion, and lower operational costs while advancing environmental goals.
Policy and Partnership for a Connected South Africa 

To maximise these outcomes, the GSMA calls for continued policy reform and cross-sector partnerships prioritising digital inclusion and sustainable growth. Key recommendations include digital and renewable infrastructure investment incentives, support for digital literacy programs, and frameworks encouraging public-private collaboration.

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