Forecast: Earth observation market to surpass $8bn by 2033
November 28, 2024
The Earth Observation (EO) Market is set for significant growth, according to the 17th edition of the Earth Observation Data and Services Market report by Novaspace, the space consulting and market intelligence firm.
Currently valued at $5 billion (€4.7bn), Novaspace projects the EO market to exceed $8 billion by 2033, with the services segment growing from $3.1 billion to $4.9 billion during the same period.
The report identifies defence contracts and advanced EO products as critical drivers behind the market’s sustained expansion. In addition to offering higher resolution, advanced spectral bands, and 3D capabilities, EO services are increasingly leveraging cloud computing and artificial intelligence for automated satellite image analysis. These innovations enable large-scale monitoring and timely decision-making, addressing applications in defence, sustainability and security.
“Market growth isn’t just about replacing aerial geolocation systems,” said Alexis Conte, Manager at Novaspace and lead author of the report. “It’s about scaling up EO monitoring capabilities to provide actionable insights over time. This focus on tracking and analysing activities at scale is driving both technological and market innovations.”
Defence and Sustainability Lead Market Momentum
Large-scale defence contracts, such as those from the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) and National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), are fueling technological advancements and creating opportunities for subcontractors. Defence-related EO revenues alone are expected to grow by $1.1 billion by 2033, supported by increasing budgets and a push for higher-resolution capabilities to meet real-time monitoring needs.
The report also highlights regional dynamics shaping the market. North America remains the largest EO market, generating 44 per cent of global revenues in 2023, followed by Europe at 22 per cent. However, the fastest growth is projected in the Asian regions, which will account for 23 per cent of the market by 2033, driven by relaxing commercial domestic policies and growing demand in Asia and Southeast Asia. The Middle East market is gaining traction by increasing its procurement schemes and by consolidating its assets.