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Forecast: Pinterest ad revenue at $4.2bn in 2025

June 11, 2024

Pinterest’s commercial momentum is accelerating, with the platform recording its fastest rate of both advertising revenue and monthly active user (MAU) growth since 2021. According to WARC Media, Pinterest’s advertising revenue is forecast to reach $3.6 billion (€3.3bn) in 2024 (+17.3 per cent year-on-year), and will maintain that rate of growth in 2025, with revenue next year set to total $4.2 billion.

From an audience perspective, Pinterest surpassed half a billion users for the first time in Q1 2024, with its MAU number now totalling 518 million.

WARC’s Celeste Huang, author of the report, commented: “For so long, Pinterest has been known for upper funnel discovery, where users look for inspiration. However, Pinterest has an audience with high commercial intent. Its advancements in shoppability and AI – alongside a focus on fulfilling users’ ‘multi-session journeys’ – has started to reap rewards, with moves into the performance space attracting additional investment. Among advertisers, trust in Pinterest’s sustainable growth and understanding of its competitive positioning are rising.”

Providing evidence-based insights on the challenges and opportunities Pinterest has to offer, this latest Platform Insights report from WARC Media offers an overview of the key data points that advertisers need to know about the platform spanning investment, consumption and performance.

Investment: Pinterest’s advertising revenue is forecast to reach $3.58bn in 2024 and $4.2bn in 2025

Pinterest is often mentioned alongside Snapchat and Reddit as a ‘smaller’ platform, distinct from digital giants like Meta and TikTok. However, Pinterest is carrying strong growth momentum into the second half of 2024. The platform has refined its position in a highly competitive social media market: effective in upper-funnel discovery, but also capitalising on users with high commerce intent using advanced ad formats.

WARC Media forecasts Pinterest’s global advertising revenue to reach $3.6 billion this year (up 17.3 per cent year-on-year) and $4.2 billion in 2025 (up 17.1 per cent year-on-year)

Pinterest’s lower-funnel revenue growth rate nearly doubled from Q4 2023. Its monetisation strategy resembles other digital peers: utilise new formats and products to boost user engagement and increase ad load and impression.

Pinterest’s growth is strongest in the lower funnel, mainly in the US and amongst the “largest, most sophisticated advertisers”, the platform claims. Such brands are generally faster adopters of new ad tools. Emerging categories such as technology generate the most growth in the US, while WARC Media forecasts that the retail category spend on Pinterest will reach $575 million globally in 2025.

Consumption: Pinterest’s MAUs surpassed 500m for the first time

Gen Z is now Pinterest’s largest and fastest-growing demographic, making up 40 per cent of all users. Qustodio’s data on kids and teen social media use revealed that Pinterest was used more than Instagram in the US, UK, Australia, and France last year. Younger users go to Pinterest to plan and shop and are quick to react to new content formats like collages.

The platform has long been known for brand discovery and product inspiration. Users are open to ideas: 96 per cent of top searches on Pinterest are unbranded. However, it is now sharpening its content and shopping strategy to further boost performance and consumers’ “inspiration to action” journey.

Since 55 per cent of users see it as a ‘place to shop’, Pinterest wants to position itself as a ‘more positive alternative’ to other digital environments, especially as social platforms focus on entertainment and human connection migrates to messaging apps.

New formats such as Collages are vital to these aims: Collage are shoppable, and users are 3x more likely to save Collage pins than other formats on Pinterest. Nearly 70 per cent of Gen Z create Collages. This helps to create human curation signals to feed Pinterest’s AI to serve more customised ads.

Performance: Attribution models underestimate Pinterest’s revenue contribution

Research by Fospha found that Google Analytics severely underestimates Pinterest’s revenue contribution, with Last Click capturing only 1.3 per cent of its impact. The best-optimised brands on Pinterest spend 23 per cent of their budget on awareness and consideration, and adopt an always-on strategy, the study concluded.

Pinterest’s cost-per-acquisition is down 60 per cent year-on-year, per data from Nest Commerce, and its conversion rate continues to grow. Leveraging keywords and interest targets is crucial for lower-funnel success.

Data shared by Pinterest itself reported that it can deliver a 28 per cent increase in conversions and up to 96 per cent traffic increases for advertisers. Multi-format campaigns are important here: brands that use videos in their Collection ads see a 44 per cent better ROAS, compared to static Collection ads, according to Pinterest.

Moreover, Pinterest’s ad proposition is viewed positively by advertisers and users alike. Kantar’s ad equity metrics revealed improving scores from Pinterest between 2021 and 2023, meaning consumers are less likely to view ads on the platform negatively. Pinterest also ranked as US consumers’ second most-preferred ad platform, with ads seen as “very relevant and useful”.

Categories: Advertising, Articles, Markets, Research, Social Media