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With News Corp, Telstra and Channel Seven recently agreeing to pay a share of over A$2.5 billion (€1.58bn) for six years of AFL broadcast rights from 2017, Roy Morgan Research has taken a detailed look at the size and fragmentation of viewership across Free-to-Air, Pay TV, and digital streaming platforms.
Roy Morgan Single Source research in the 12 months to June 2015 shows that:
Over the past two years, there has been a clear fragmentation of audiences across Free TV, Pay TV and live streaming: in 2013, over two-thirds of Fox Footy viewers (68 per cent) and AFL Live Official App users (67 per cent) also cited Channel Seven’s matches among those they especially choose to watch. Today, there is less overlap—meaning greater fragmentation: 59 per cent of Fox Footy viewers and 54 per cent of App users also choose to watch matches on Channel Seven. The overlap between Fox Footy and the AFL Live Official App has also declined, from 32 per cent of app users in 2013 to 24 per cent now.
Overall, 2,846,000 Australians 14+ cite one or more of these potential AFL match-viewing options in the 12 months to June 2015, down slightly from 2,946,000 in the 12 months to June 2013. Less than half a per cent of Australians cite all three options, unchanged over the last two years.
“Live sports rights have long been a battleground for Australian television content providers,” noted Tim Martin, General Manager – Media, Roy Morgan Research. “Channel Seven has reportedly agreed to pay $900 million to air three or four AFL matches per round from 2017 to 2022. Foxtel’s $1.3 billion has bought the right to broadcast all premiership season games. News Corp has the right to sub-license a Saturday afternoon match, meaning channels Ten and/or Nine could also get a piece of the action.”
“There was, for some, hope that Telstra’s $300 million digital deal would allow fans to stream matches through their TVs with an AFL Live Official subscription. Instead, up to 2022 Australians will still (legally) only be able to stream AFL matches live to hand-held mobile devices via the app. Any plans that Optus, YouTube, Facebook or Netflix may have had to stream AFL will now be on the backburner until at least 2023.”
“But in this fast-changing media landscape, 2017 is a long time away—and 2023 seems like forever. Sports rights holders and current or potential broadcasters will need to keep a close eye not only on how many Australians want to watch live sport, but how they want to watch it, how much they’re prepared to spend (if anything), and the lengths they’ll go to get what they want it, regardless of rights deals.”